Friday, December 27, 2013

Bowl Preview!



Hey football fans! I’m a little behind schedule (having missed the first couple of games of the bowl season) but the bulk of the bowls are still to come and it is never too late for my bowl preview! The short summary for every bowl can be found below but I first thought I’d give a few thoughts to summarize:

1.      I did not have a good championship weekend! I only got one of the four major championship games (ACC, Big 10, Pac 12 and SEC) + the Bedlam Game correct and it was the easy one (FSU over Duke). To be fair, my predictions were consistent with the Vegas lines but it is never fun to go 1 for 5.
2.      My rankings still love Florida State and have them favored by 19 over Auburn. The Seminoles are considered a heavy favorite by most but 19 is a lot of points for the championship game.
3.      The top 10 was largely unchanged after championship weekend. Clemson was the only team to drop out of the top 10 and was replaced with Missouri, which, frankly, is hard to explain. Auburn did, though, move up a couple of spots to #13 thanks to their victory over Missouri, though.
4.      Tonight is a big night for my alma maters! First, my current employer and MS alma mater the University of Minnesota plays Syracuse in the Texas Bowl. I have the Gophers favored by about 4. Later on, my PhD alma Mater the University of Washington plays BYU in the Fight Hunger Bowl. I have the Huskies favored by about 6 and a half. Go Gophers and Huskies!

Here is my complete bowl preview for all bowl games:

Bowl
Favorite
Underdog
Line
P(Upset)
Date
BCS National Championship Game
 Florida State
 Auburn
18.93
0.088
1/6/14
Orange Bowl
 Ohio State
 Clemson
2.46
0.43
1/3/14
Sugar Bowl
 Alabama
 Oklahoma
12.55
0.185
1/2/14
Fiesta Bowl
 Baylor
 Central Florida
22.38
0.055
1/1/14
Rose Bowl
 Stanford
 Michigan State
5.6
0.344
1/1/14
Cotton Bowl
 Oklahoma State
 Missouri
1.28
0.464
1/3/14
Gator Bowl
 Georgia
 Nebraska
11.39
0.208
1/1/14
Capital One Bowl
 Wisconsin
 South Carolina
1.86
0.447
1/1/14
Outback Bowl
 LSU
 Iowa
9.65
0.245
1/1/14
GoDaddy.com Bowl
 Ball State
 Arkansas State
7.58
0.294
1/6/14
BBVA Compass Bowl
 Vanderbilt
 Houston
0.29
0.492
1/4/14
Heart of Dallas Bowl
 North Texas
 UNLV
6.23
0.328
1/1/14
Chick-fil-A Bowl
 Texas A\M
 Duke
11.27
0.21
12/31/13
Liberty Bowl
 Mississippi State
 Rice
14.23
0.155
12/31/13
Sun Bowl
 UCLA
 Virginia Tech
5.36
0.351
12/31/13
AdvoCare V100 Bowl
 Arizona
 Boston College
8.82
0.264
12/31/13
Music City Bowl
 Georgia Tech
 Mississippi
0.25
0.493
12/30/13
Alamo Bowl
 Oregon
 Texas
14.31
0.153
12/30/13
Armed Forces Bowl
 Navy
 Middle Tennessee
8.3
0.276
12/30/13
Holiday Bowl
 Arizona State
 Texas Tech
15.62
0.132
12/30/13
Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl
 Kansas State
 Michigan
0.01
0.5
12/28/13
Pinstripe Bowl
 Notre Dame
 Rutgers
17.62
0.104
12/28/13
Russell Athletic Bowl
 Louisville
 Miami (Fla.)
2.86
0.419
12/28/13
Belk Bowl
 North Carolina
 Cincinnati
5.87
0.337
12/28/13
Fight Hunger Bowl
 Washington
 BYU
6.51
0.321
12/27/13
Texas Bowl
 Minnesota
 Syracuse
4.3
0.379
12/27/13
Military Bowl
 Marshall
 Maryland
0.73
0.479
12/27/13
Little Ceasers Bowl
 Bowling Green
 Pittsburgh
2.33
0.434
12/26/13
Poinsettia Bowl
 Utah State
 Northern Illinois
4.95
0.362
12/26/13
Hawaii Bowl
 Oregon State
 Boise State
1.91
0.446
12/24/13
Beef 'O' Brady's Bowl
 East Carolina
 Ohio
11.57
0.204
12/23/13
New Orleans Bowl
 Louisiana-Lafayette
 Tulane
0.28
0.492
12/21/13
Las Vegas Bowl
 USC
 Fresno State
7.5
0.296
12/21/13
New Mexico Bowl
 Washington State
 Colorado State
8.34
0.276
12/21/13
Idaho Potato Bowl
 Buffalo
 San Diego State
4.01
0.387
12/21/13

As always, full rankings can be found at my faculty webpage:


Enjoy the rest of the bowl season!


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