Happy New Year everyone!
We’re about two thirds of the way through the
bowl season and I wanted to update my predictions for the remaining games.
We don’t have any new information about these teams, in particular, but we do have
more information about the relative strength of each conference due to the bowl
results, so far. This is important because of the lack of common opponents for
most of the bowl games. Not much has changed but the predicted margin of victory moved by about a half-a-point to a point in a couple of cases.
My predictions for the remaining bowl games can be
found below. Enjoy!
Bowl
|
Favorite
|
Underdog
|
Predicted
MOV
|
Upset Probability
|
Date
|
BCS National Championship Game
|
Florida State
|
Auburn
|
18.55
|
0.093
|
1/6/14
|
Orange Bowl
|
Ohio State
|
Clemson
|
2.44
|
0.431
|
1/3/14
|
Sugar Bowl
|
Alabama
|
Oklahoma
|
12.23
|
0.192
|
1/2/14
|
Fiesta Bowl
|
Baylor
|
Central Florida
|
22.71
|
0.053
|
1/1/14
|
Rose Bowl
|
Stanford
|
Michigan State
|
5.97
|
0.335
|
1/1/14
|
Cotton Bowl
|
Oklahoma State
|
Missouri
|
1.94
|
0.445
|
1/3/14
|
Gator Bowl
|
Georgia
|
Nebraska
|
11.34
|
0.209
|
1/1/14
|
Capital One Bowl
|
Wisconsin
|
South Carolina
|
1.46
|
0.459
|
1/1/14
|
Outback Bowl
|
LSU
|
Iowa
|
10.09
|
0.236
|
1/1/14
|
GoDaddy.com Bowl
|
Ball State
|
Arkansas State
|
7.31
|
0.301
|
1/6/14
|
BBVA Compass Bowl
|
Vanderbilt
|
Houston
|
0.28
|
0.492
|
1/4/14
|
Heart of Dallas Bowl
|
North Texas
|
UNLV
|
5.87
|
0.338
|
1/1/14
|
